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16.07.202506:11 Forex Analysis & Reviews: AUD/USD Forecast for July 16, 2025

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Last week, a false breakout occurred on the weekly scale above the MACD line. This week, the price is forcefully returning below the line.

Exchange Rates 16.07.2025 analysis

The Marlin oscillator has turned downward. It is possible that the entire rise since early April was merely a deep 61.8% correction of the downward move from September 2024. This suggests that the price may fall below the April low of 0.5917.

Exchange Rates 16.07.2025 analysis

On the daily chart, the price has settled below the internal line of the green price channel and the MACD line. The price will likely attempt to reach the lower boundary of the local blue price channel near the target level of 0.6393. A correction from the first target of 0.6448 (on this chart) is possible.

Exchange Rates 16.07.2025 analysis

On the four-hour scale, the price is reversing from the resistance of the balance line. The MACD line appears to be turning downward, signaling the direction of the short-term trend. The first target is 0.6487, which corresponds to the low from July 7. A consolidation below this level opens the path to 0.6448.

Laurie Bailey
Analytical expert of InstaForex
© 2007-2025

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